BFM 89.9

HIGHLIGHTS 
Podcast  >  Morning Run  >  Market Watch  >  In the US, Growth Slows: Should It Be Worried?

In the US, Growth Slows: Should It Be Worried?

Joe Quinlan

31-Jul-13 05:42

In the US, Growth Slows: Should It Be Worried?

Joe Quinlan, MD and Chief Market Strategist at US Trust-Bank of America Private Wealth Management in New York, discusses the following issues:

- US GDP figures will be announced on 30th July and consensus estimates are at 1.1%(real GDP) down from prior figure of 1.8%. This is quite a big fall from earlier expectations.. And these declines are coming from personal consumption. Your view? 

- Can growth realistically accelerate to the 2.3-2.6% expected by the Fed in 2013? Let alone the 3-3.5% in 2014? – this is significantly above the trend growth rate of 2.1% experienced since 2009. 

- Consumer confidence - Consensus estimate is at 81.0, slightly lower than prior figure of 81.4 but still a strong indication of consumer confidence. BUT the gain masks a small uptick in those who say jobs are hard to get, now at 36.9 percent for a 5 tenths increase that does not point to new gains for the June employment report.Your view? 

- And to the debt ceiling - Treasury Security, Jack Lew, predicted that the US would hit its statutory borrowing limit ($16.7 trillion), sometime after Labor Day (1st Monday on Sept) Will the Democrats and Republicans will be able to get it right this time? 

- Or are we going to see another ‘last minute fix’?

- Japan has just recorded its highest level of inflation in 5 years with the core consumer price index rising to 0.4%, but this was largely due to Yen weakness, which has made imports more costly However, the prices of food, housing, household goods and entertainment in Japan all fell on the year - this makes the numbers pretty artificial?

- Farther out, how do u rate Abe's target for Japan to win its 15 year battle with deflation, and hit its target of 2% p.a.?

- Over the past four days the Nikkei has dropped c. 1,000 points, and the JPY has seen its biggest surge in over six weeks… Is something rotten in the state of Abenomics? And Is the long Nikkei/short JPY trade over for now? 

- Reports say President Barack Obama may be leaning toward former Treasury Secretary Larry Summers as the next head of the Federal Reserve, and not the dovish Janet Yellen What's your view of these reports? And if Summers is indeed selected how badly could it jolt markets, since tapering will be expected to happen more quickly?


This and more than 60,000 other podcasts in your hand. Download the all new BFM mobile app.

Categories: 

Tags:  market watchjoe quinlan





Play / Pause

Listen now : Just For Kicks

Today’s Shows



6:00 AM

The 6AM Stretch

Thought-provoking discussions on ideas, people and events shaping our lives.

7:00 AM

World Market Watch

Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst, KCM Trade tells us where international markets are heading.

7:15 AM

Morning Brief

We recap global and local headlines from today's papers and portals.

7:30 AM

Morning Brief

Angeline Tan, Analyst at the Institute Of Strategic & International Studies (ISIS) Malaysia, discusses how Beijing is positioning itself and how this will all affect middle powers like us.

7:45 AM

Morning Brief

Prof. Zaharom Nain of Universiti Malaya, shares his insights on “single window, single offer” admissions system and the standardisation of First Class degree awards.

8:00 AM

The Breakfast Grille

Gurtaj Singh Padda, Co-founder and CEO of Tune Talk, discusses the company’s 5G rollout and commercialisation plans amongst others.

8:30 AM

Morning Brief

Alex Wong, Managing Editor and Co-Founder of SoyaCincau, discusses the implications arising from Telekom Malaysia's split from Digital Nasional Berhad.

8:45 AM

Morning Brief

(REPEAT) We dive into the local and international news that matters to you.

9:00 AM

Opening Bell

(REPEAT) Tim Waterer, Chief Market Analyst, KCM Trade tells us where international markets are heading.

9:15 AM

Opening Bell

(REPEAT) We take a look at the FBM KLCI as well as regional capital markets.

9:35 AM

What's The Focus

We wrap up the week’s biggest conversations to keep you in the know.

10:05 AM

Open For Business

From RM1/Day to RM75M IPO: The Foodie Media Story. In 2016, it was just a side hustle. A simple food blog called Penang Foodie making less than RM1 a day. 9 years later, Foodie Media Berhad rang the bell on the ACE Market with a RM75 million IPO. Co-Founders Ping Yang and Rui Mei unpack the journey to 46 million followers, the reality of running a business as a husband-and-wife team, and the next level for the company.

11:00 AM

Mattsplained

Matt Armitage, Founder, Kulturpop

12:00 PM

Enterprise Explores

Sheba Gumis, Partner, Skrine

1:00 PM

The Breakfast Grille Repeat

Gurtaj Singh Padda, Co-founder and CEO of Tune Talk, discusses the company’s 5G rollout and commercialisation plans amongst others.

2:05 PM

Discovery Hour

An eclectic selection of BBC shows, curated with variety in mind.

3:05 PM

Front Row

We find out more about Moonlit Melodies, a one-night only classical concert that features songs and piano works inspired by the poetry of the night.

3:20 PM

Front Row

A new Malaysian theatre production explores family, loss, and sibling bonds. We speak to the team behind Mati-mati (J’aime Ma Mère) about the story.

4:05 PM

Health & Living

Is Asia obsessed with thinness? We look at how weight and body shape drive conversations in our cultures, and why this is unhealthy.

5:00 PM

Top 5 at 5

A countdown of the 5 biggest stories of the day, to catch you up on all you need to know!

6:00 PM

Popcorn Culture

A Knight of the Seven Kingdoms + TBC

7:00 PM

Just For Kicks

8:00 PM

Bar None

9:00 PM

The Selector